Inflation to Fall Below 10% as Nigeria’s Economy Rebounds — Tinubu
President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has projected that Nigeria’s inflation rate will fall below 10 per cent in 2026, expressing optimism that the development will translate into improved living standards and accelerated economic growth. The projection was conveyed by the Special Adviser to the President on Information and Strategy, Mr. Bayo Onanuga, in a statement praising corporate Nigeria and key stakeholders in the capital market for surpassing the N100 trillion market capitalisation milestone on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX). According to the statement, the President expressed confidence that ongoing economic reforms would yield greater returns for investors, assuring that 2026 would be a better year for both local and foreign investments. Data from the NGX showed that the market achieved the N100 trillion capitalisation target on Monday, closing at N101.80 trillion. Market capitalisation represents the total value of all outstanding shares listed on the Exchange. President Tinubu described the milestone as an inspiration for investors operating within the money and capital markets, urging Nigerians to deepen their investments in the domestic economy. He assured that 2026 would deliver even stronger outcomes as reforms continue to gain traction. Onanuga said the crossing of the N100 trillion mark signified the birth of a new economic reality and a rejuvenation of investor confidence in Nigeria. Read Also: 300-Year-Old Kano Farming Settlement Faces Extinction Over Sand Mining Nigerian Navy Launches High-Tech Agricultural Initiative to Boost Food Security Fixing the Forgotten Crisis: Solutions to Nigeria’s Herders-Farmers Conflict He noted that while many global markets struggled with stagnation or weak recovery in 2025, the NGX All-Share Index recorded strong growth, closing the year with a 51.19 per cent return, higher than the 37.65 per cent recorded in 2024. He added that year-to-date returns had outpaced those of major global indices, including the S&P 500 and FTSE 100, as well as several emerging market peers. According to him, the performance underscored Nigeria’s growing appeal as an investment destination, reflecting renewed confidence in the broader economy. The President further highlighted strong performances across sectors on the NGX, including industrial firms that have localised supply chains and a banking sector noted for resilience and technological innovation. Tinubu said his administration was only getting started, revealing that the pipeline for new listings remained robust, with indigenous energy firms, technology companies, telecom operators and infrastructure-heavy entities seeking access to the public market to fund expansion. He noted that such listings would further boost market capitalisation and deepen democratic ownership of the economy. He stressed that the government was not celebrating stock market performance in isolation but also the broader microeconomic effects of its reforms, particularly the gradual easing of inflationary pressures after initial headwinds. On inflation, Tinubu projected a sharper decline than earlier forecasts, contrasting his outlook with the Central Bank of Nigeria’s 12.9 per cent projection for 2026. Onanuga explained that monetary tightening and the removal of distortionary Ways and Means financing had helped restore stability to the naira. He added that increased investments in agriculture had contributed to a consistent decline in inflation over the past eight months, from a 24-month high of 34.8 per cent in December 2024 to 14.45 per cent in November 2025, with further moderation expected in 2026. The President also highlighted improvements in Nigeria’s current account position, noting that the country posted a surplus of $16 billion in 2024, with projections indicating a rise to $18.81 billion in 2026. According to him, non-oil exports recorded significant growth, rising by 48 per cent by the third quarter of 2025, while exports to Africa increased by 97 per cent. Manufacturing exports also grew by 67 per cent year-on-year in the second quarter of 2025. Tinubu further disclosed that Nigeria’s foreign reserves had crossed the $45 billion mark, with projections indicating they would exceed $50 billion in the first quarter of 2026, giving the Central Bank increased capacity to maintain macroeconomic stability. He also pointed to ongoing infrastructure expansion, including rail networks, major highways and port revitalisation projects, as part of efforts to strengthen the productive base of the economy and sustain long-term growth.

















